Mid-East Realitieswww.middleeast.org

If you don't get MER, you just don't get it!
9 August 2004 MER is Free
News, Views, & Analysis Governments, Lobbies, & the
Corporate Media Don't Want You To Know
"I have been reading your writings for some time. They are essential to
any understanding of what is going on in the Middle East."
-Gilbert Gendron, Montréal, Canada

"Your publication is brilliant, and the best that I've seen anywhere.
I appreciate both the even-handedness of information and the bite in your editorials.
Mentioning credit where credit is due and blame where blame is due seems to be
such a rarity in reporting on ME issues."

-Alex Uttermann, Boulder Creek, CA

Comment on this and other MER articles in the MER FORUM

Upcoming from MER:
WASHINGTON SHADOWS - Stumbling, Bumbling
'Arabist' Ambassadors Play to the Cameras


"The Democratic Party's neo-con vampires are a
lot worse than the current ones - the second
movie could be more frightening than the first."

Mid-East Realities - MER - www.MiddleEast.Org - 9 August 2004: He sure didn't write this way when he worked for the old gray Zionist lady the New York Times. With language like 'neo-con vampires' he sounds a bit this time like MER in its regular tell-it-like-it-really-is mode. Now Youssef Ibrahim is hardly a free man working in Dubai for the supercash Arabs who are now themselves everywhere entangled with the Americans of which he writes, neocons of all stripes included. So there are plenty of subjects about which Ibrahim knows he still has to pull his punches -- just different ones then when he worked for the NYTimes, as well as the Wall Street Journal for a while. But this little article which begins to explain how the Democratic Zionist neocons are in many ways even worse than the hard-line Republican Zionist ones is thoughtful, insightful, hard-hitting, and important. Maybe for his next installment Mr. Ibrahim will have more to say -- for instance about Josephs Lieberman and Biden, and then let's hope about his old colleagues at the New York Times starting with Tom Friedman, et. al.

Neo-cons, Part II
By Youssef M. Ibrahim*

Gulf News - 6 August 2004: For three years the world fumed over the chauvinism, arrogance and policies of Republican neo-conservatives (neo-cons as they are known) riding over George W. Bush's administration. They advocated regime changes and wars-of-choice. They dumped the western alliance, forged even stronger bonds with Israel, dropping the Palestinians altogether, and occupied Iraq.

But for those millions, who aspire to better days under a Democratic administration led by Senator John Kerry, think again. The Democratic Party's neo-con vampires are a lot worse than the current ones - the second movie could be more frightening than the first.

One of the Democratic Party neo-con intellectual gurus, Leslie Gelb, president emeritus of the Council on Foreign Relations has proposed in a New York Times Opinion-Editorial a few months ago the partition of Iraq, stirring quite a fuss, but no real objection by anyone of weight inside the Kerry camp.

Gelb's answer to how American troops get out of Iraq is to split it into three states: Shiites in the South, Kurdish in the North and one Sunni state in the middle. Then American troops can leave a new mess, and say bye-bye.

Another major guru of the Democratic neo-cons, Peter W. Galbraith, wrote a huge analysis in the New York Review of Books on May 13 (volume 51-number 8) in which he argued this model would "solve" many of the contradictions of modern Iraq.

"The Shiites could have their Islamic republic, while the Kurds could continue their secular traditions. Alcohol would continue to be a staple of Kurdish picnics while it would be strictly banned in Basra... The three-state solution would permit the United States to disengage from security duties in most of Iraq," Galbraith asserted. Of course, America would keep some American military bases - just in case.

Never mind that such a solution would result in shifting out major segments of populations, like the two million Shiites living in Baghdad's Sadr city district, as well as hundred of thousands of Sunnis Arabs from Kurdistan and from the South. Far worse, it is a guaranteed formula for a bloody civil war, the destabilisation of Saudi Arabia and Kuwait next door and the entry of Iran into this mess.

The rest of the democratic neo-cons world vision is even more frightening. For the Greater Middle East, their view is to appoint Israel in effect the American pro-consul for the Arab world by supplying it with more military and financial aid while diminishing such aid to Egypt and other Arab countries.

This would permit Israel to complete its ongoing takeover of the West Bank of Jordan and squeezing most Palestinians into a tiny pseudo state in Gaza whose land, sea and sky borders would be under Israeli control - a cage in which the Palestinians can rot. They will not be able to fly, sail or drive in or out of it without Israeli permission. Nor will they have open borders with Egypt or Jordan.

The other chief target in the Democratic neo-cons crosshair is Iran. The American Israel Public Affairs Committee, AIPAC, the most powerful pro-Israel lobby in America, has made it clear to both Republicans and Democrats that Iran must be contained again because after the demise of Iraq it remains the only danger to Israel.

Among other things, AIPAC has asked that Iran be stripped of nuclear research facilities and that sanctions be imposed on Russia if it continues to help Iran in this area.

In fact, the Greater Middle East strategy of Democratic neo-cons is the same as the existing ones: what is good for Israel is good for America. It goes without saying that establishing diplomatic relations with Israel by all Arab countries will become a must for maintaining friendly relations with America.

The next target is the "reform" of Muslim countries and Muslim doctrines. The "war against terror" will become the war against Islam in various forms, targeting school programmes, religious education, public institutions, economic reforms, all under the guise of human rights, free economy and democracy.

There is nothing wrong with more democracy - God knows this region can use it - as long as it is not a Trojan horse for more control by the west and Israel.

Finally, Europe, both new and old, must be neutralised in the sense of understanding it cannot and will not have any influence that is separate or different from America's. This of course will include new pressures to bring an increasingly independent Russia back into line.

In the view of Democratic neo-cons, Vladimir Putin the Russian president, is far too independent for their taste. Russia cannot be allowed to rise again as an industrial, strategic or even oil power.

Russian oligarchs, many of whom happen to be strong supporters of Israel, have already been cultivated and "prepped", as they say, to use both their money and influence in support of the taming of Putin, or, his removal in favour of a more pliant Russian leader. Economic sanctions and such threats should, the Democratic neo-cons believe, be invoked too if necessary.

So if you are upset about the current movie "Republican Vampires" watch out for part two, "Democratic Vampires". Things could get scarier.

* Youssef M. Ibrahim , a former Middle East correspondent for the New York Times and Energy Editor of the Wall Street Journal, is Managing Director of the Dubai-based Strategic Energy Investment Group, a consulting firm specialising in assessing political risk in the Gulf, Middle and Near East region.

Please forward MER articles to others in their entirety with proper attribution.
We welcome your comments and information in the new MER FORUM.

MID-EAST REALITIES - www.MiddleEast.Org
Phone: (202) 362-5266 Fax: (815) 366-0800
Email: MER@MiddleEast.Org
Copyright © 2004 Mid-East Realities, All rights reserved

If you don't get MER, you just don't get it!
Click here to subscribe by email
MER is free

Mid-East Realitieswww.middleeast.org

Source: http://www.middleeast.org/articles/2004/8/1050.htm