The Sunday Times - 5 March: WHEN
Major-General Axel Tüttelmann, the head of Nato’s Airborne Early
Warning and Control Force, showed off an Awacs early warning
surveillance plane in Israel a fortnight ago, he caused a flurry of
concern back at headquarters in Brussels.
It was not his demonstration that raised eyebrows, but what he
said about Nato’s possible involvement in any future military strike
against Iran. “We would be the first to be called up if the Nato
council decided we should be,” he said.
Nato would prefer the emphasis to remain on the “if”, but
Tüttelmann’s comments revealed that the military alliance could play a
supporting role if America launches airstrikes against Iranian nuclear
targets.
The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) will tomorrow
confirm Iran’s referral to the United Nations Security Council for
possible sanctions.
Iran insists it is developing peaceful nuclear energy, a claim
regarded as bogus by America and Britain, France and Germany, which
believe it wants to develop nuclear weapons. President Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad’s remarks about wiping Israel “off the map” have added to
fears.
America and Israel have warned that they will not tolerate a
nuclear-armed Iran. If negotiations fail, both countries have plans of
last resort for airstrikes against Iran’s widely dispersed nuclear
facilities.
Porter Goss, the head of the CIA, visited Recep Erdogan, the
prime minister of Turkey, a Nato country, late last year and asked for
political, logistical and intelligence support in the event of
airstrikes, according to western intelligence sources quoted in the
German media.
The news magazine Der Spiegel noted: “Washington appears to be
dispatching high-level officials to prepare its allies for a possible
attack.”
Nato would be likely to operate air defences in Turkey,
according to Dan Goure, a Pentagon adviser and vice-president of the
Lexington Institute, a military think tank.
A former senior Israeli defence official said he believed all Nato members had contingency plans.
John Pike, director of the US military studies group
Globalsecurity.org, said America had little to gain from Nato military
help. “I think we are attempting to bring the alliance along
politically so that when all diplomatic initiatives have been exhausted
and we blow up their sites, we can say, ‘Look, we gave it our best
shot’.”
A senior British defence official said plans to attack Iran
were pure speculation. “I don’t think anybody has got that far yet,” he
said. “We’re all too distracted by Iraq.”
Israel’s special forces are said to be operating inside Iran
in an urgent attempt to locate the country’s secret uranium enrichment
sites. “We found several suspected sites last year but there must be
more,” an Israeli intelligence source said. They are operating from a
base in northern Iraq, guarded by Israeli soldiers with the approval of
the Americans, according to Israeli sources.
The commander of Israel’s nuclear missile submarines warned
Iran indirectly in a comment to an Israeli newspaper last week that “we
are able to hit strategic targets in a foreign country”.
The Israelis fear Iran may reach the “point of no return” — at
which it has the capacity to enrich uranium to bomb-grade purity — in
the next few months. The Americans are more interested in the point at
which Iran is close to developing an actual bomb, thought to be at
least three years away.
Two Iranian opposition groups claimed this weekend that Iran
had increased its production of Shahab 3 missiles, which have a range
of 1,200 miles, sufficient to reach Israel.
Diplomatic efforts to contain Iran are likely to proceed
slowly, given Russian and Chinese opposition to punitive action. A
Foreign Office official said although the IAEA would refer Iran to the
security council, any sanctions would be a “strictly step-by-step
process”.