U.S. worried by threats to Jordan
as strategies
for neighboring Iraq take shape
As the
United States develops plans to confront the Saddam Hussein regime in Iraq,
it is growing concerned about the future of Jordan.
U.S.
officials fear King Abdullah will be overwhelmed by the rise in anti-U.S.
and anti-Israeli sentiment in the kingdom. The sentiment, said to be supported
by neighboring Iraq, has sparked large and increasingly violent demonstrations
in Jordan.
"We are
getting SOS signals from Jordan," a U.S. intelligence source said. "This
is not a problem that money can buy."
Last
week, the United States announced it intended to sell a $22 million long-range
radar system to Jordan to help monitor air traffic in neighboring Iraq.
U.S. officials said the Bush administration is considering other forms
of aid to the Hashemite kingdom over the next few months.
The officials
said CIA director George Tenet has warned President George Bush that Jordan
has become one of the most vulnerable of pro-U.S. Arab regimes. The CIA
is said to have determined that King Abdullah has been unable to stem the
rising tide of pro-Iraqi and anti-U.S. sentiment that is hampering Jordan's
domestic and foreign policy.
Jordan
has a Palestinian majority that some analysts assert reaches 70 percent
of the population. After efforts to halt political demonstrations, Jordanian
ministers and Palestinian-born Queen Rania have joined anti-Israeli and
anti-U.S. protests.
On April
22, Jordan announced the arrest of several suspects in connection with
the assassination attempt of the kingdom's intelligence chief in February.
Jordanian sources said the suspects are believed linked to Iraq.
Arab
diplomatic sources said the United States has increased intervention in
Jordanian affairs. The sources cited Jordan's announcement to lift subsidies
on basic staples to implement recommendations of the International Monetary
Fund as well as King Abdullah's decision to stay away from the Arab League
summit in March.
Officials
said the Bush administration does not intend to grant Jordan a major increase
in military aid. The administration has requested that Congress provide
Jordan $25 million in emergency aid for fiscal 2002 and $198 million in
military aid in 2003.
Moreover,
the administration does not plan to provide Jordan with greater leeway
in defense relations with its Arab neighbors. Officials said Defense Secretary
Donald Rumsfeld has again turned down a Jordanian request to transfer U.S.-made
M-48 tanks to Lebanon. Rumsfeld told visiting Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik
Hariri last week that the U.S. ban on offensive weapons to Beirut would
continue.
Meanwhile,
Jordan has for the first time sentenced Palestinian Authority officers
to prison terms.
A Jordanian
military court sentenced four PA officers to up to 15 years in prison with
hard labor on charges of smuggling weapons from Syria into Jordan. The
weapons were meant to be smuggled into the West Bank for use in the insurgency
war against Israel.
In a
closed session, the military court sentenced four of five Palestinian defendants.
Two of the four officers convicted were sentenced in absentia. A fifth
defendant was found not guilty.
The defendants
were said to hold the rank of major and captain in PA security forces.
All were said to have been members of the Fatah movement led by PA Chairman
Yasser Arafat.
The defense
admitted that they acquired weapons from Syria early last year. The defense
said Jordanian security forces seized the arms before the defendants could
use them.
Those
sentenced by the court to serve prison sentences are Khalil Anati, 46,
and Bilal Ashkar, 37. They were both sent to seven years in jail. Abdul
Muti Abu Mulik and Suleiman Omran were sentenced in absentia to 15 years.
Arab
diplomatic sources said the conviction reflects the rising tension between
the Hashemite kingdom and the PA. The sources said Amman has been alarmed
by the increasing involvement of Fatah members in the anti-Israeli unrest
in the country.
On April
30, the London-based Al Hayat daily reported that Jordan has demanded from
Arafat the extradition of two Palestinians linked to the 1997 assassination
of a Jordanian diplomat in Beirut. The extradition request asserted that
the suspected Palestinian assassins are members of the Abu Nidal group
and currently live in the West Bank city of Ramallah.
The two
Palestinians were convicted by a Jordanian court in absentia last year.
The PA had imprisoned the Abu Nidal members, but they were released on
the eve of the Israeli military offensive in the West Bank on March 29.
Geostrategy-Direct, www.geostrategy-direct.com,
May 7, 2002
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Inc. All rights reserved.
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