TURKEY HEADING TOWARD "SOCIAL EXPLOSION"...i.e., "REVOLUTION"
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TURKEY HEADING TOWARD "SOCIAL EXPLOSION"...i.e., "REVOLUTION"

June 30, 2001

MID-EAST REALITIES - www.MiddleEast.Org - Washington - 6/30: In geostrategic and military terms, the unnamed U.S.-Israel-Turkish military alliance that emerged full-blown during the last decade -- of course with the Turks using the "peace process" as the excuse for such close relations between Turkey and Israel -- was one of the most important developments. In turn the U.S. and Israel have made considerable efforts to greatly strengthen the Turkish army, to push under the strong Islamic forces, and of course to step-up the further repression of the Kurds symbolized by the capture and trial of Abdullah Oculan. Now, even with all the help from the U.S. and Israel, the contradictions within Turkey coupled with the brutal military suppression of all who dare oppose what has happened to Turkey are causing a chaoctic situation heading to "social explosion"...a more political correct term it seems for "revolution".

The following is from MER four years ago, in April 1997. Following that two Reuters articles today which just hint at what may be to come:

ISRAEL & TURKEY - MAJOR MILITARY ALLIANCE

"MOST POWERFUL MILITARY FRIENDSHIP IN THE MIDDLE EAST"

[MER - 4/28/1997: While the misnomered "peace process" continues to dominate the news, arms continue to flood into the Middle East region and possible war preparations are underway. The Israeli military, with ever-increasing U.S. help, has actually increased its military budget since the "peace process" began. And the Americans have recently agreed to provide additional hundreds of millions of dollars for anti-missile defenses, "anti-terrorism", and the prepositioning of military stockpiles in the U.S. for immediate war-time transfer to Israel. One of the most important regional military and political developments in the past few years is the still-growing Israeli-Turkish/U.S. military alliance. The Israelis are further badgering and challenging the weak Arab regimes, now with Turkey added to their arsenal. And the Turkish military is strengthening itself should it circumvent Turkish "democracy" with a military government to prevent the Islamic movement from gaining any further power and should civil war result, as has been the case in Algeria. Both the U.S. and Israel have been courting Turkish military leaders urging them to severely pressure the Turkish government away from its new "Islamic" orientation, and if not successful to instigate a coup.

REMARKABLE MILITARY COOPERATION - TURKEY AND ISRAEL

"OVER THE LAST TWO YEARS, TURKEY AND ISRAEL HAVE QUIETLY FORGED A REMARKABLE PROGRAM OF MILITARY COOPERATION. IN THE PROCESS, THEY HAVE CREATED WHAT IS NOW THE MOST POWERFUL MILITARY FRIENDSHIP IN THE MIDDLE EAST... THE RELATIONSHIP CAN ONLY MAKE ISRAELI LEADERS MORE CONFIDENT THAT THEY CAN TAKE TOUGH POSITIONS IN DEALING WITH THEIR ARAB NEIGHBORS. AN ALLIANCE WITH TURKEY COULD GO A LONG WAY TOWARD NEUTRALIZING SYRIA IN ANY MAJOR CRISIS. IT COULD ALSO MAKE SYRIA THINK TWICE ABOUT STIRRING UP TROUBLE TO ISRAEL'S NORTH, HOWEVER PREOCCUPIED ISRAEL MAY BE WITH QUELLING UNREST AMONG THE PALESTINIANS." Stephen Nizer, Correspondent New York Times, 4/13/97

TURKEY ECONOMY SHRINKS, GENERALS REPORTED WORRIED

By Steve Bryant

ISTANBUL, 30 June 2001 (Reuters) - Turkey reported on Saturday a 4.2 percent drop in gross national product (GNP) in the first three months of 2001 from a year earlier, as the effects of two major financial crises bit into the economy.

The evidence of a sharp slowdown in the NATO-member's economy came as newspapers reported Turkey's powerful generals were concerned that the economic crisis could spark social upheaval and demonstrations.

The figures were published on the State Statistics Institute's website and compare with 4.2 percent GNP growth in the first quarter of 2000.

Turkey's economy was rocked by successive crises in November and late February. The second forced a flotation of the lira currency that destroyed an IMF-backed disinflation plan.

Since then thousands have been laid off work as businesses closed and Turks struggled to deal with a more than 40 percent depreciation of the lira against the dollar.

Inflation has also rocketed to 52.4 percent annually for consumer prices in May. Turkey is almost entirely dependent on imports of fuel and Turks have seen huge rises in petrol and heating costs, as well as hikes in value added tax and other taxes designed to raise government revenue.

Newspapers on Saturday said a meeting of the influential National Security Council, Turkey's top security body where members of the military advise civilian on threats to the country, had discussed the danger of a "social explosion."

"A report said that measures taken after the economic crisis had placed many people on low incomes in great difficulty and expressed the worry that 'This could cause a social explosion'," the Hurriyet newspaper said.

Prime Minister Bulent Ecevit played down the reports, saying he could not discuss the proceedings of the council.

"But I can say this: there was no report that caused concern," Ecevit told reporters in Ankara.

Turkey's armed forces have directly intervened to overthrow civilian governments three times since 1960 and their advice carries great weight with civilian governments. Their last direct coup followed widespread social unrest in the late 1970s.

Other papers carried similar details of the report, debated at the closed-doors meeting of the council on Friday.

Under a new IMF loan deal that offers $15.7 billion this year in crisis lending, Turkey budgeted for a three percent contraction in GNP in the whole of 2001, hoping that the cheaper lira would allow export-fuelled growth to return in the second half of the year.

Many analysts predict a more severe contraction, pointing to a banking sector that was ravaged by the crises and is unable or unwilling to provide the credits to small businesses that are needed to feed a return to growth.

The security council report pointed to increases in theft and muggings and warned wider street protests were possible in the coming months.

"It was requested of the government to take rapid measures to improve the position of low income groups," Hurriyet said.

TURK HUNGER STRIKER DIES, TOLL UP TO 26

ISTANBUL, 30 June 2001 (Reuters) - A Turkish leftist hunger-striker died on Friday, bringing the death toll in a months-long "death fast" against prison reforms to 26, newspapers said on Saturday.

Newspapers said 22-year-old Zehra Kulaksiz had died after she had refused food for 221 days in a house in the city of Istanbul.

Hundreds of mostly leftist inmates and some family members are on hunger strike to protest a new penitentiary system which has introduced the use of small cells.

The hunger strikers have survived by taking water with salt and sugar and vitamins.

Turkey says the new jails meet European standards and break up the influence of political prisoners and mafia criminals over large dormitory-style wards.

The hunger strikers say the new cells isolate prisoners and make them vulnerable to police brutality.


June 2001


Magazine



TURKEY HEADING TOWARD "SOCIAL EXPLOSION"...i.e., "REVOLUTION"
(June 30, 2001)
In geostrategic and military terms, the unnamed U.S.-Israel-Turkish military alliance that emerged full-blown during the last decade -- of course with the Turks using the "peace process" as the excuse for such close relations between Turkey and Israel -- was one of the most important developments.

WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTIONS EMERGING
(June 29, 2001)
In a sense there is an arms race under way at this time of a different kind -- a race for whether weapons of mass destruction will be used in a serious and ongoing way should a new war break out first in the Subcontinent over Kashmir or in the Middle East over Palestine.

LABOR AND LIKUD MORE ALIKE THAN DIFFERENT - MER FLASHBACK
(June 29, 2001)
Long before what was to happen with Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak (remember him?), MER was informing who he really was and what to really expect. Same with regard to Shimon Peres. Expect the same cutting-edge information and analysis in the months ahead.

Washington Scene: THE HISTORICAL MOMENT
(June 27, 2001)
The Middle East region totters now between further repression and oppression, terrorism and war. The outcome in the short term is indeterminate of course. But the winds and directions are clear; however much camaflouged by the politicians and the usually gullible mass media.

THREATCON DELTA ORDERED TODAY
(June 22, 2001)
One day they will probably get Osama bin-Laden, former confident of King Fahd in Saudi Arabia, former CIA asset against the once mighty Soviet Empire, now arch nemesis of the American Empire.

"ALGERIA IS IN CRISIS"
(June 22, 2001)
"The Battle of Algiers" left North Africa biggest country terribly bloodied and traumatized. This time it was French imperialism and the French military that did the dirty horrifying deeds.

EGYPT ARMING WHILE REGIME IS SHAKING
(June 21, 2001)
Arab States, including Egypt, are arming at a growing pace. Even combined they are still no match to defeat Israel. But their detterence capabilities are growing, they might be able to seriously bloody Israel in years ahead...

ARAFAT'S FLUNKIES
(June 20, 2001)
There are many reasons the Palestinian people are suffering so terribly, worse by the year in fact, and are now endangered by the possibility of a second "nakba" (disaster).

"THE SECOND HALF OF 1948"
(June 20, 2001)
Official declarations and many reports in the Israeli media indicate that the Israeli military and political leadership are aiming, eventually, at a total destruction of the Palestinian authority, and, with it, the process of Oslo, which is now dominantly considered by them a 'historical mistake'.

TELEGRAPHING WHAT I S TO COME
(June 19, 2001)
Arafat had two roles he had been assigned. That's why none other than former "terrorist" Arafat was the most frequent visitor to the White House during the years 1993 through 2000.

SHARON'S LONG MARCH: NEXT TO WASHINGTON THEN TO THE ATTACK
(June 19, 2001)
Ariel Sharon is proving what others before him, including Generals Patton and MacArthur of American legend, learned about modern warfare. There's a heavy messure of political theatrics and personal legend involved in making war, more so now than ever in this age of instant TV and the Intenet.

SHARON Coming To US Again To Coordinate War Plans
(June 19, 2001)
Sharon is coming to the States again next week. Only a firm "absolutely not" from the Americans is likely now to prevent much further brutal subjugation of the Palestinians; quite possibly the exiling again of Yasser Arafat.

SON OF IMPORTANT ISRAELI FAMILY REFUSES OCCUPATION MILITARY SERVICE
(June 17, 2001)
Coordinated non-violent but serious civil disobedience -- there in the Middle East, in Europe, and in the United States -- that is what today's situation desperately calls out for.

ARIEL SHARON - WAR CRIMINAL?
(June 15, 2001)
Years ago the former Secretary-General of the United Nations, Kurt Waldheim, was brought before a mock international court through a joint effort of Home Box Office (HBO) in the USA and a major British TV network. The question before the court was whether Kurt Waldheim was possibly guilty of war crimes ...

PREPARING FOR DESTRUCTION
(June 15, 2001)
"If a cease-fire does indeed take hold, then all the better... If Arafat rejects the document or professes to accept it, but does not fulfill his part of the bargain, Israel will win more points in the court of world opinion and a more conducive political backdrop will be created for a military response to Palestinian violence."

ALGERIANS FIRE INTO DEMONSTRATING CROWDS TODAY
(June 14, 2001)
The Berbers in Algeria, the brutal civil war in Sudan, the Palestinians in the once Holy Land, the Kurds in Iraq and Turkey, the ongoing Kashmir crisis -- all conflicts exploding throughout the greater Middle East region today in 2001, all conflicts the legacy of Western colonial policies of yesteryear and American imperial policies of today.

MARCH TO WAR CONTINUES: ISRAEL WARNS IRAN AGAIN
(June 14, 2001)
There are major historical and military reasons why Ehud Barak and Bill Clinton (representing of course huge constituencies who at the time pushed them to pursue the policies they did) pressed Yasser Arafat so hard to sign an agreement at Camp David.

THE SO-CALLED "AGREEMENT"
(June 13, 2001)
There is no real "agreement". There is a dictate. Yasser Arafat is in no position anymore to do much other than what his American handlers tell him to do; a day of reckoning he brought on himself by so many mistakes and so much corruption over such a long time.

Another Muslim Rep Foolishly Plays To The Cameras On Behalf of the Regimes
(June 13, 2001)
A week ago outside the State Department one of the latest Muslim organization reps to grab for the cameras -- Khalid Turaani -- declared in loud tones how the time had finally come for "civil disobedience" and how he and the other leaders of the assembled Muslim "client organizations" were going to get arrested in a peaceful protest ...

HASHEMITE KINGDOM CLOSES BORDERS TO PALESTINIANS
(June 13, 2001)
The Hashemite Regime has always, right from the start, been in deep collusion with the Israelis and since World War II with the CIA. This latest step to close off Jordan to Palestinians -- to essentially put a seal on the jar which now contains the Palestinians ...

CIA TELLS ARAFAT WHAT HE HAS TO DO AND WHAT IT WILL DO FOR HIM
(June 12, 2001)
When the Director of the CIA is himself involved so extensively, goes on site half way around the world for a lengthy stay, and the situation is so critical he has to publicly acknowledge his role ...

CLOVIS MAKSOUD DID IT TWENTY YEARS AGO, APPEARING WITH SHIMON PERES
(June 11, 2001)
Those who know Raghida Dergham know what she is, and its certainly not a truly independent journalist. She's been an opportunist for a very long time, and she's used her sexuality to climb the ladder with backing from one influential Arab diplomat or royal along the way for a long time now.

CALAMITY AHEAD
(June 10, 2001)
"A whole nation is now huddled around one tribal bonfire to lament its bitter fate, mourn its dead and ignore the dead of the other side. As usual, it views itself as the victim, turns the enemy into Satan and waits, inactive and bravely unthinking, for the calamity that is about to befall it and for which it is in no small measure to blame."

WAR POSSIBLE WARNS TOP SAUDI
(June 10, 2001)
Normally one of the last places one would turn for truthfulness, integrity, and information would be the Saudi royal family. Currently headed by a former playboy who drank, gambled, and womanized his life away in Beirut and London -- before assuming the throne -- it is the Saudi "royal family which epitomizes the "client regime" realities that have so fractured, weakened, and prostrated the whole region once known as "the Arab world."

CHRISTIAN LEADERS: WRONG TIME, WRONG ADVICE, WRONG REASONS
(June 8, 2001)
"Be assured of our prayers for you and the President and all others in the Administration as you seek to forge a fair and just policy for the two peoples and three faiths who share a common religious heritage in the land we hold as holy."

THE CRUEL REGIMES OF ARABDOM
(June 7, 2001)
There are huge cultural gulfs between East and West, old world and new world. And of course the West is extraordinarily dominant these days not only it terms of financial and military might, but also in terms of cultural influence and "moral" standards.

SHARON'S RISE
(June 7, 2001)
"In reality the Zionist and Hashemite leaderships continue to plot how to control and repress the Palestinians in ever more crafty and ever more duplicitous ways."

ARAFAT 4 YEARS AGO - MER FLASHBACK
(June 6, 2001)
Last year MER first carried information about the increasingly close CIA, Shinbet, and Mossad connections with Yasser Arafat's "Palestinian Authority".

MUSLIM ORGS EMBARRASS THEMSELVES AT STATE DEPT
(June 5, 2001)
With much press fanfare (they just love to play to the cameras) leaders of half a dozen Muslim American groups held a press conference gathering across from the State Department today.

DESPITE THE LULL, WAR CLOUDS LOOM
(June 4, 2001)
Despite the lull, there are many ominous signs of impending major attacks against the occupied Palestinians about to take place; and there is a real possibility of regional war.

EGYPTIANS THREATEN WAR!
(June 4, 2001)
When the American Secretary of State cancels long-planned foreign travel and publicly warns of the "abyss" from which "there may no return" you can bet the situation behind-the-scenes is far more dangerous and explosive than is publicly realized.

SHARON'S HAWKS PLAN FOR WAR
(June 3, 2001)
Peter Beaumont, foreign affairs editor, reports on Israel's growing mood for full-scale hostilities in the aftermath of 17 deaths in a nightclub suicide bomb attack

24-HOURS AND COUNTING
(June 2, 2001)
"Americans should not travel to Gaza at the present time and those who live there should depart to a safer location when they can do so." U.S. Embassy, Israel

HATED RAJOUB GETS READY
(June 2, 2001)
With the days of Yasser Arafat maybe coming to an end one way or another, with Feisal Husseini passed from the scene, with the other Palestinian tough guys bottled up in Gaza, the frontrunner strong man to "control" the Palestinian people throughout the West Bank and Jerusalem appears to be Jibril Rajoub.

ARAFAT'S LEGACY
(June 2, 2001)
Yasser Arafat was hired, courted, and well-paid to control his own people and lead them, however much they tried to resist, to the Apartheid-style arrangement the Israelis always had in mind with the so-called "Oslo Peace Process".

ISRAELIS PLANNING BLITZKRIEG?
(June 1, 2001)
For a long time now we have been desperately warning about what the true Israeli intentions are. We have also been warning that the Palestinians are not at all prepared for these eventualities, neither with the terrible leadership provided by the "Palestinian Authority" nor for the world-wide information and public relations battle that accompanies all major developments in our world these days.




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